How low can RUNE go?

THORChain downside map after the Binance hack pump · built 2026-10-30 16:06 UTC · not financial advice

Price

$0.632

24h range

0.584–0.712

30d

-20.7%

1y low

$0.321 (Jun 6)

Mcap / Vol

$209M / $65M

Hacker ETH on THOR

None yet

Not a stablecoin

RUNE looked stable this week because it sat in a 0.62–0.64 range before the hack. The hack pump to 0.723 has almost fully faded, and price is back at that pre-hack range. It is still a volatile alt: it fell from 0.86 to 0.32 over the past year and is down 21% in 30 days.

Price, last 120 days

How it loses

Most likely

The wash never comes, or goes elsewhere

The hacker can use other bridges, mixers or OTC desks. The ETH could also stay frozen or parked for weeks. Then the event premium bleeds out.

Market

BTC/equities roll over

RUNE has high beta. Bear case BTC 70–72K drags alts with it.

Even if it works

Sell-the-news fade

In the Bybit case RUNE ran about +38% in 5 days, then fully round-tripped.

Protocol

Halts or bad headlines

Nodes can pause ETH chain trading, and "laundering rail" headlines can draw pressure.

Decision tree

NowRUNE $0.63, no hacker flow yet

IF hacker ETH hits THOR router

Hold / add on the ping

Targets 0.72–0.75, 0.78, 0.845; runner to 0.9

IF quiet and 0.58 holds

Chop 0.58–0.66

Time stop: no flow in a few days means trimming

IF daily close under 0.579

Out, premium gone

Next 0.55, then 0.48 if market is weak

Trade plan

Entry	Held; add only on a confirmed THOR deposit, not on hope
Invalidation	Daily close below 0.579 (about -8%)
Targets	0.72–0.75 / 0.78 / 0.845 (+14% / +23% / +34%)
R:R	About 1.7 : 1 to TP1, 4 : 1 to 0.845
Downside map	0.579, then 0.55 (Dec–Feb base), then 0.48 (Aug), then 0.39–0.43 (mid-year)